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lundi 18 janvier 2016

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2016 Central Bank Calendar - updated with Egypt

Following is the 2016 calendar for meetings by central bank committees that decide monetary policy updated with the scheduled meetings of the Central Bank of Egypt.
The table includes scheduled meetings for more than 40 of the world's central banks. In the event that meetings by monetary policy committees take place over several days, the date listed below is for the final day of the meetings when decisions are normally announced.
The calendar is updated regularly to reflect the latest information as some central banks have yet to release their meeting schedule for 2016. Other central banks only release tentative schedules and then finalize their calendar as the meeting nears.

The latest version of the calendar can always be accessed by clicking here. Work is underway to expand the number of central banks covered, including expanding the existing inflation targets table, and global interest rates table. You may replicate the table in part or in full only if you link to this page.



DATE FX CODE COUNTRY CENTRAL BANK JANUARY 7-Jan RON Romania National Bank of Romania 12-Jan RSD Serbia National Bank of Serbia 14-Jan KRW South Korea Bank of Korea 14-Jan BDT Bangladesh Bangladesh Bank 14-Jan IDR Indonesia Bank Indonesia 14-Jan GBP United Kingdom Bank of England 14-Jan PLN Poland National Bank of Poland 14-Jan PEN Peru Central Reserve Bank of Peru 14-Jan CLP Chile Central Bank of Chile 15-Jan MZN Mozambique Bank of Mozambique 19-Jan TRY Turkey Central Bank of Republic of Turkey 20-Jan CAD Canada Bank of Canada 20-Jan KES Kenya Central Bank of Kenya 20-Jan BRL Brazil Central Bank of Brazil 20-Jan PYG Paraguay Central Bank of Paraguay 21-Jan MYR Malaysia Central Bank of Malaysia 21-Jan EUR Euro area European Central Bank 25-Jan GHS Ghana Bank of Ghana 25-Jan ILS Israel Bank of Israel 25-Jan AOA Angola Bank of Angola 26-Jan HUF Hungary Central Bank of Hungary 26-Jan NGN Nigeria Central Bank of Nigeria 27-Jan USD United States Federal Reserve 28-Jan NZD New Zealand Reserve Bank of New Zealand 28-Jan ZAR South Africa South African Reserve Bank 28-Jan UAH Ukraine National Bank of Ukraine 28-Jan EGP Egypt Central Bank of Egypt 28-Jan MDL Moldova National Bank of Moldova 28-Jan FJD Fiji Reserve Bank of Fiji 29-Jan JPY Japan Bank of Japan 29-Jan RUB Russia Bank of Russia 29-Jan COP Colombia Central Bank of Colombia 29-Jan TTD Trinidad and Tobago Central Bank of Trinidad and Tobago FEBRUARY 2-Feb AUD Australia Reserve Bank of Australia 2-Feb INR India Reserve Bank of India 3-Feb THB Thailand Bank of Thailand 3-Feb PLN Poland National Bank of Poland 3-Feb GEL Georgia National Bank of Georgia 3-Feb ALL Albania Bank of Albania 4-Feb CZK Czech Republic Czech National Bank 4-Feb GBP United Kingdom Bank of England 4-Feb MXN Mexico Banco de Mexico 5-Feb RON Romania National Bank of Romania 10-Feb ISK Iceland Central Bank of Iceland 10-Feb NAD Namibia Bank of Namibia 11-Feb PHP Philippines Central Bank of Philippines 11-Feb SEK Sweden The Riksbank 11-Feb CLP Chile Central Bank of Chile 11-Feb PEN Peru Central Reserve Bank of Peru 11-Feb RSD Serbia National Bank of Serbia 12-Feb UAH Uganda Bank of Uganda 15-Jan MZN Mozambique Bank of Mozambique 16-Feb KRW South Korea Bank of Korea 17-Feb MUR Mauritius Bank of Mauritius 18-Feb IDR Indonesia Bank Indonesia 19-Feb COP Colombia Central Bank of Colombia 22-Feb ILS Israel Bank of Israel 23-Feb TRY Turkey Central Bank of Republic of Turkey 23-Feb HUF Hungary Central Bank of Hungary 24-Feb PYG Paraguay Central Bank of Paraguay 25-Feb FJD Fiji Reserve Bank of Fiji 29-Feb KGS Kyrgyzstan National Bank of the Kyrgyz Republic MARCH 1-Mar AUD Australia Reserve Bank of Australia 2-Mar BRL Brazil Central Bank of Brazil 3-Mar UAH Ukraine National Bank of Ukraine 9-Mar MYR Malaysia Central Bank of Malaysia 9-Mar CAD Canada Bank of Canada 9-Mar PLN Poland National Bank of Poland 9-Mar GEL Georgia National Bank of Georgia 10-Mar NZD New Zealand Reserve Bank of New Zealand 10-Mar KRW South Korea Bank of Korea 10-Mar EUR Euro area European Central Bank 10-Mar PEN Peru Central Reserve Bank of Peru 15-Mar JPY Japan Bank of Japan 16-Mar ISK Iceland Central Bank of Iceland 16-Mar USD United States Federal Reserve 17-Mar IDR Indonesia Bank Indonesia 17-Mar GBP United Kingdom Bank of England 17-Mar NOK Norway Norges Bank 17-Mar RSD Serbia National Bank of Serbia 17-Mar CHF Switzerland Swiss National Bank 17-Mar ZAR South Africa South African Reserve Bank 17-Mar EGP Egypt Central Bank of Egypt 17-Mar CLP Chile Central Bank of Chile 18-Mar RUB Russia Bank of Russia 18-Mar MXN Mexico Banco de Mexico 21-Mar GHS Ghana Bank of Ghana 22-Mar HUF Hungary Central Bank of Hungary 22-Mar NGN Nigeria Central Bank of Nigeria 22-Mar MAD Morocco Bank of Morocco 22-Mar PYG Paraguay Central Bank of Paraguay 23-Mar THB Thailand Bank of Thailand 23-Mar PHP Philippines Central Bank of Philippines 24-Mar TRY Turkey Central Bank of Republic of Turkey 28-Mar ILS Israel Bank of Israel 28-Mar KGS Kyrgyzstan National Bank of the Kyrgyz Republic 31-Mar CZK Czech Republic Czech National Bank 31-Mar MDL Moldova National Bank of Moldova 31-Mar FJD Fiji Reserve Bank of Fiji APRIL 5-Apr AUD Australia Reserve Bank of Australia 6-Apr PLN Poland National Bank of Poland 6-Apr ALL Albania Bank of Albania 7-Apr RSD Serbia National Bank of Serbia 12-Apr CLP Chile Central Bank of Chile 13-Apr CAD Canada Bank of Canada 14-Apr GBP United Kingdom Bank of England 14-Apr PEN Peru Central Reserve Bank of Peru 15-Apr UAH Uganda Bank of Uganda 19-Apr KRW South Korea Bank of Korea 20-Apr TRY Turkey Central Bank of Republic of Turkey 20-Apr PYG Paraguay Central Bank of Paraguay 21-Apr IDR Indonesia Bank Indonesia 21-Apr SEK Sweden The Riksbank 21-Apr EUR Euro area European Central Bank 21-Apr UAH Ukraine National Bank of Ukraine 25-Apr ILS Israel Bank of Israel 26-Apr HUF Hungary Central Bank of Hungary 27-Apr USD United States Federal Reserve 27-Apr GEL Georgia National Bank of Georgia 27-Apr BRL Brazil Central Bank of Brazil 28-Apr JPY Japan Bank of Japan 28-Apr NZD New Zealand Reserve Bank of New Zealand 28-Apr MDL Moldova National Bank of Moldova 28-Apr EGP Egypt Central Bank of Egypt 28-Apr FJD Fiji Reserve Bank of Fiji 29-Apr RUB Russia Bank of Russia MAY 3-May AUD Australia Reserve Bank of Australia 4-May ALL Albania Bank of Albania 5-May CZK Czech Republic Czech National Bank 5-May MXN Mexico Banco de Mexico 11-May THB Thailand Bank of Thailand 11-May ISK Iceland Central Bank of Iceland 12-May PHP Philippines Central Bank of Philippines 12-May GBP United Kingdom Bank of England 12-May NOK Norway Norges Bank 12-May PEN Peru Central Reserve Bank of Peru 13-May KRW South Korea Bank of Korea 13-May PLN Poland National Bank of Poland 16-May GHS Ghana Bank of Ghana 17-May RSD Serbia National Bank of Serbia 17-May CLP Chile Central Bank of Chile 19-May IDR Indonesia Bank Indonesia 19-May MYR Malaysia Central Bank of Malaysia 19-May ZAR South Africa South African Reserve Bank 23-May ILS Israel Bank of Israel 24-May TRY Turkey Central Bank of Republic of Turkey 24-May HUF Hungary Magyar Nemzeti Bank 24-May NGN Nigeria Central Bank of Nigeria 24-May PYG Paraguay Central Bank of Paraguay 25-May CAD Canada Bank of Canada 26-May UAH Ukraine National Bank of Ukraine 26-May MDL Moldova National Bank of Moldova 26-May FJD Fiji Reserve Bank of Fiji 30-May KGS Kyrgyzstan National Bank of the Kyrgyz Republic JUNE 1-Jun ISK Iceland Central Bank of Iceland 2-Jun EUR Euro area European Central Bank 7-Jun AUD Australia Reserve Bank of Australia 8-Jun BRL Brazil Central Bank of Brazil 8-Jun PLN Poland National Bank of Poland 9-Jun NZD New Zealand Reserve Bank of New Zealand 9-Jun KRW South Korea Bank of Korea 9-Jun RSD Serbia National Bank of Serbia 9-Jun PEN Peru Central Reserve Bank of Peru 10-Jun RUB Russia Bank of Russia 15-Jun UAH Uganda Bank of Uganda 15-Jun USD United States Federal Reserve 15-Jun GEL Georgia National Bank of Georgia 16-Jun JPY Japan Bank of Japan 16-Jun IDR Indonesia Bank Indonesia 16-Jun CHF Switzerland Swiss National Bank 16-Jun GBP United Kingdom Bank of England 16-Jun EGP Egypt Central Bank of Egypt 21-Jun HUF Hungary Central Bank of Hungary 21-Jun TRY Turkey Central Bank of Republic of Turkey 21-Jun MAD Morocco Bank of Morocco 22-Jun THB Thailand Bank of Thailand 22-Jun PYG Paraguay Central Bank of Paraguay 23-Jun PHP Philippines Central Bank of Philippines 23-Jun NOK Norway Norges Bank 23-Jun UAH Ukraine National Bank of Ukraine 27-Jun ILS Israel Bank of Israel 27-Jun KGS Kyrgyzstan National Bank of the Kyrgyz Republic 30-Jun MDL Moldova National Bank of Moldova 30-Jun CZK Czech Republic Czech National Bank 30-Jun MXN Mexico Banco de Mexico JULY 5-Jul AUD Australia Reserve Bank of Australia 6-Jul SEK Sweden Sveriges Riksbank 6-Jul PLN Poland National Bank of Poland 6-Jul ALL Albania Bank of Albania 7-Jul RSD Serbia National Bank of Serbia 13-Jul MYR Malaysia Central Bank of Malaysia 13-Jul CAD Canada Bank of Canada 14-Jul KRW South Korea Bank of Korea 14-Jul GBP United Kingdom Bank of England 14-Jul PEN Peru Central Reserve Bank of Peru 18-Jul GHS Ghana Bank of Ghana 19-Jul TRY Turkey Central Bank of Republic of Turkey 20-Jul BRL Brazil Central Bank of Brazil 20-Jul PYG Paraguay Central Bank of Paraguay 21-Jul IDR Indonesia Bank Indonesia 21-Jul EUR Euro area European Central Bank 21-Jul ZAR South Africa South African Reserve Bank 25-Jul ILS Israel Bank of Israel 26-Jul HUF Hungary Central Bank of Hungary 26-Jul NGN Nigeria Central Bank of Nigeria 27-Jul GEL Georgia National Bank of Georgia 27-Jul USD United States Federal Reserve 28-Jul UAH Ukraine National Bank of Ukraine 28-Jul MDL Moldova National Bank of Moldova 28-Jul EGP Egypt Central Bank of Egypt 28-Jul FJD Fiji Reserve Bank of Fiji 29-Jul JPY Japan Bank of Japan 29-Jul RUB Russia Bank of Russia AUGUST 2-Aug AUD Australia Reserve Bank of Australia 3-Aug THB Thailand Bank of Thailand 3-Aug ALL Albania Bank of Albania 4-Aug GBP United Kingdom Bank of England 4-Aug CZK Czech Republic Czech National Bank 11-Aug NZD New Zealand Reserve Bank of New Zealand 11-Aug KRW South Korea Bank of Korea 11-Aug PHP Philippines Central Bank of Philippines 11-Aug MXN Mexico Banco de Mexico 11-Aug RSD Serbia National Bank of Serbia 11-Aug PEN Peru Central Reserve Bank of Peru 19-Aug IDR Indonesia Bank Indonesia 23-Aug TRY Turkey Central Bank of Republic of Turkey 23-Aug HUF Hungary Central Bank of Hungary 24-Aug ISK Iceland Central Bank of Iceland 24-Aug PYG Paraguay Central Bank of Paraguay 25-Aug MDL Moldova National Bank of Moldova 25-Aug FJD Fiji Reserve Bank of Fiji 29-Aug ILS Israel Bank of Israel 29-Aug KGS Kyrgyzstan National Bank of the Kyrgyz Republic 31-Aug BRL Brazil Central Bank of Brazil SEPTEMBER 6-Sep AUD Australia Reserve Bank of Australia 7-Sep MYR Malaysia Central Bank of Malaysia 7-Sep PLN Poland National Bank of Poland 7-Sep SEK Sweden Sveriges Riksbank 7-Sep CAD Canada Bank of Canada 7-Sep GEL Georgia National Bank of Georgia 8-Sep EUR Euro area 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Bank of Morocco 29-Sep CZK Czech Republic Czech National Bank 29-Sep MDL Moldova National Bank of Moldova 29-Sep MXN Mexico Banco de Mexico OCTOBER 4-Oct AUD Australia Reserve Bank of Australia 5-Oct ISK Iceland Central Bank of Iceland 5-Oct PLN Poland National Bank of Poland 5-Aug ALL Albania Bank of Albania 13-Oct KRW South Korea Bank of Korea 13-Oct GBP United Kingdom Bank of England 13-Oct RSD Serbia National Bank of Serbia 13-Oct PEN Peru Central Reserve Bank of Peru 19-Oct CAD Canada Bank of Canada 19-Oct BRL Brazil Central Bank of Brazil 20-Oct IDR Indonesia Bank Indonesia 20-Oct EUR Euro area European Central Bank 20-Oct TRY Turkey Central Bank of Republic of Turkey 20-Oct PYG Paraguay Central Bank of Paraguay 23-Oct ILS Israel Bank of Israel 25-Oct HUF Hungary Central Bank of Hungary 26-Oct GEL Georgia National Bank of Georgia 27-Oct SEK Sweden The Riksbank 27-Oct NOK Norway Norges Bank 27-Oct UAH Ukraine National Bank of Ukraine 27-Oct MDL Moldova National Bank of Moldova 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Russia Bank of Russia 20-Dec JPY Japan Bank of Japan 20-Dec TRY Turkey Central Bank of Republic of Turkey 20-Dec HUF Hungary Central Bank of Hungary 20-Dec MAD Morocco Bank of Morocco 20-Dec PYG Paraguay Central Bank of Paraguay 21-Dec THB Thailand Bank of Thailand 21-Dec SEK Sweden The Riksbank 21-Dec ALL Albania Bank of Albania 22-Dec PHP Philippines Central Bank of Philippines 22-Dec CZK Czech Republic Czech National Bank 26-Dec ILS Israel Bank of Israel 26-Dec KGS Kyrgyzstan National Bank of the Kyrgyz Republic 29-Dec MDL Moldova National Bank of Moldova 29-Dec EGP Egypt Central Bank of Egypt




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Go to Original Story


2016 Central Bank Calendar - updated with Egypt

The American Revolution - the Sequel (Jeff Thomas)

Originally Published by Casey Research
The US is the most observed country in the world. Since it’s the world’s current empire (and since it is beginning its death throes as an empire), it’s fascinating to watch.

Those of us outside of the US watch it like Americans watch TV. It’s like a slow-motion car wreck that we observe almost daily, eager to see what’s going to happen next. We criticise the madness of it all, yet we can’t take our eyes off the unfolding drama. It has all the excitement of a blockbuster movie.

  • The national debt is, by far, the highest of any country in history.
  • The economic system is a house of cards, getting shakier every day.
  • The government has become mired in progress-numbing fascism and increasing collectivism.
  • The government is aggressively creating the world’s most organized police state.
  • The majority of the population have become wasteful, spendthrift consumers who apathetically hope that their government will somehow solve their problems.
  • The media consistently misrepresents international events, prodding the citizenry into accepting that the ongoing invasion of multiple other countries is essential.
  • The most popular candidates for president (both parties) are the candidates that are the most egotistical, out-of-control blowhards who preach provocative rhetoric rather than real solutions.
Still, most Americans retain the hope that, somehow, it will all work out.

Hope Is a Desire, Not a Plan

There are growing numbers of Americans who have accepted that the US is unravelling rapidly and is headed for a social, economic, and political collapse of one form or another. Some talk of a new revolution (but hopefully a peaceful one, of the Tea Party sort). Some imagine that, if they can store enough guns and ammunition in their homes, they might be able to make a stand against government authorities. Others mull over the idea of organised secession by some of the states. A small, but growing, number are quietly leaving for more promising destinations.

Except for the last of these, most of the “hopes” are understandable, but any attempt at a “Second American Revolution” is unlikely to succeed.

Why? Well, just for a start,

  • The power of the US state is far greater than that of King George III in the late eighteenth century.
  • The present US state would be fighting on its own ground, not some continent thousands of miles across the ocean.
  • The US state is committed to the concept that it dealt definitively (and forever) with the concept of secession between 1861 and 1865.
But, for the sake of argument, let’s say that a breakup of the union, or complete removal and replacement of the government were possible in the US. What then?

Well, unfortunately, here comes the really bad news for those who hope that the US could start over as the free nation it was in its infancy:

  • In the late eighteenth century, America was a largely agrarian collection of colonies. Colonists had to work hard just to survive, so the work ethic and self-reliance were paramount in the colonists’ makeup. They were a brave people who were accustomed to providing for themselves and physically fighting off those who would challenge them.
  • Colonists received no significant largesse from the British or local governments. No welfare, no social security, no Medicare or Medicaid, no benefits of any kind.
  • Colonists made their own daily decisions. They had no government schools or media telling them what to think or what choices to make. They relied on common sense and self-determination to guide their decisions and actions.
Today, of course, the opposite is true. Less than 2% of Americans are involved in agriculture. A mere 9% are actually employed in the production of goods. They are rarely directly involved in their own physical protection (Most, if not all, combat is overseas and fought by defence contractors or those who voluntarily serve the military).

Most Americans receive benefits of one type or another from their government. Most recipients regard these benefits as “essential” and could not get by without them.

Most Americans receive their opinions from the media. Although this is not apparent to many Americans, it’s glaringly clear to those outside the US who can only shake their heads at the misinformation proffered by the US media and the wholesale acceptance of this “alternate reality” by so many Americans.

But what bearing does this have on what the future would be for Americans if they were to become determined enough to either remove their entire government or, alternatively, for some states to secede?

There have been many revolutions in the history of the world, both peaceful and otherwise. In the case of the American Revolution of 1776, the colonists themselves were largely self-contained as a people and possessed the ideal ethos to succeed as a productive country. But this has rarely been true in history. Whenever a people have been heavily dependent on the State in one way or another, they had become accustomed to receiving largesse at the expense of others. This is a major, major factor. Such a group is unlikely in the extreme to either produce or elect a Washington or a Jefferson. They almost always choose, instead, to fall in behind someone who promises largesse from the State. In choosing such leaders, the people are more likely to receive a Robespierre or a Lenin. Out of the frying pan and into the fire.

The pervasive difficulty here lies in the erroneous concept that there can be a return to freedom whilst maintaining the dependency upon largesse from the State. The two are mutually exclusive. Those who seek a return to greater freedom must also accept that “freedom for all” means an end to the State being empowered to steal from one person in order to give to another.

Or, as stated by Frédéric Bastiat in the mid-nineteenth century, “Government is the great fiction, through which everybody endeavours to live at the expense of everybody else.”

Whether the US continues on its present downward progression, or if it breaks free in a bid for greater freedom, the eventual outcome is likely to have more to do with the collectivist mindset of the majority than with the libertarian vision of a few.

Editor’s Note: Unfortunately there’s little any individual can practically do to change the trajectory of this trend in motion. The best you can and should do is to stay informed so that you can protect yourself in the best way possible, and even profit from the situation.

We think everyone should own some physical gold. Gold is the ultimate form of wealth insurance. It’s preserved wealth through every kind of crisis imaginable. It will preserve wealth during the next crisis, too.

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The article The American Revolution - the Sequel was originally published at caseyresearch.com.
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The American Revolution - the Sequel (Jeff Thomas)

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Central Bank News Link List - Jan 17, 2016: Odds favour Bank of Canada rate cut, economists

This week in monetary policy: Turkey, Kenya, Canada, Brazil, Paraguay, Malaysia and the euro area

This week (January 18 through January 23) central banks from 7 countries or jurisdictions are scheduled to decide on monetary policy: Turkey, Kenya, Canada, Brazil, Paraguay, Malaysia and the euro area.
Following table includes the name of the country, the date of the next policy decision, the current policy rate, the result of the last policy decision, the change in the policy rate year to date, the rate one year ago, and the country’s MSCI classification.
The table is updated when the latest decisions are announced and can always accessed by clicking on This Week.



WEEK 3 JAN 18-JAN 23, 2016: COUNTRY DATE RATE LATEST YTD 1 YR AGO MSCI TURKEY 19-Jan 7.50% 0 0 7.75% EM KENYA 20-Jan 11.50% 0 0 8.50% FM CANADA 20-Jan 0.50% 0 0 0.75% DM BRAZIL 20-Jan 14.25% 0 0 12.25% EM PARAGUAY 20-Jan 5.75% 0 0 6.75% MALAYSIA 21-Jan 3.25% 0 0 3.25% EM EURO AREA 21-Jan 0.05% 0 0 0.05% DM




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This week in monetary policy: Turkey, Kenya, Canada, Brazil, Paraguay, Malaysia and the euro area

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Mongolia cuts rate 100 bps on falling inflation

Mongolia's central bank cut its policy interest rate by 100 basis points to 12.0 percent, effective Jan. 14, citing inflation that has been lower than its target for the last five months.
It is the first change in rates by the Bank of Mongolia in a year and reverses a tightening cycle that began in July 2014 and concluded with last January's rate hike to 13.00 percent. The central bank last cut its rate in June 2013.
Mongolia's inflation rate fell to a 2015-low of 2.9 percent in November from 3.4 percent in October, well below the central bank's target of 7.0 percent.
The fall in inflation is widening the central bank's room to stimulate the economy, with supply-driven inflation still low and stable while inflationary pressure from demand is also expected to be low, the central bank said.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) considers Mongolia's economic prospects to be promising in the medium to long term due to its wealth of natural resources, though in the near term it is facing substantial challenges from low foreign direct investment, weak commodity prices and the slowdown in China.
Mongolia's Gross Domestic Product expanded by 2.5 percent in the first nine months of 2015 from the same period last year, down from a rate of 3.0 percent in the first six months and 4.4 percent in the first quarter.


The Bank of Mongolia issued the following statement:

"As its meeting on 22 December 2015, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Bank of Mongolia decided to cut the policy interest rate by 1.0 percentage point to 12.0 percent.

Annual inflation measured by CPI decreased to 2.9% as of November 2015, has still been lower than the targeted level for the last 5 months, so it broadens monetary policy room towards expansion. Supply-driven inflation has still been low and stable whilst demand-pull inflationary pressure is expected to be at low level.

Positive and stable outlook on foreign direct investment and its recovery in the medium-term shall support macroeconomic external balance.

This decision on cautious and gradual monetary easing shall positively affect promoting monetary and credit growth, private sector investments and economic activities.

Extracts of the meeting minutes will be released in two weeks on the Bank of Mongolia’s website. "

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Mongolia cuts rate 100 bps on falling inflation

Mozambique holds rate, targets 7.0% growth for 2016

Mozambique's central bank left its benchmark standing facility rate steady at 9.75 percent and set what it described as "challenging macroeconomic objectives for 2016," including inflation of 5.6 percent, economic growth of 7 percent and adequate international reserves.
The Bank of Mozambique (BM), which raised its rate by 225 basis points in 2015, added that the 2016 goals were set in a context of drought and flooding in some parts of the country and weak global economic activity, particularly in emerging market economies.
BM also said it was targeting a monetary base of 70.211 billion meticais for January, down from 73.711 billion in December, which was 6.3 percent above its target.
Annually, the monetary base in December rose by 16.4282 billion, or by 28.7 percent, due to a higher-than-expected expansion of notes and coins in circulation and the impact of exchange rate depreciation on the deposits of residents and non-residents in credit institutions.
Mozambique's inflation rate jumped to a 2015-high of 10.55 percent in December from 6.27 percent in November, the highest rate since 2010, the central bank said, attributing the behavior of prices to the depreciation of the metical's exchange rate, an adjustment of administered prices that had been unchanged since 2010 and a "wave of price speculation of food and beverages in December, especially in the run up to the festive season."
Mozambique's metical was volatile last year, reflecting shocks to the country's economy, the continued rise in the U.S. dollar, the fall in prices of the main goods exported from Mozambique and reduced foreign direct investment and foreign aid flow.
The metical was quoted at 44.95 to the U.S. dollar on Dec. 31 on the Interbank Foreign Exchange Market (MCI) for a monthly appreciation of 14.82 percent, but an annual depreciation of 42.25 percent. The rise in the metical's exchange rate in December was attributed by the BM to a package of measures aimed at restoring stability.
Based on prices quoted by commercial banks, the BM said the average exchange rate on Dec. 31 was 47.3 metical to the dollar, a monthly appreciation of 14.82 percent and an annual depreciation of 39.6 percent.
The outlook for Mozambique's economy remains robust, according to the International Monetary Fund, with growth in 2015 seen at 6.3 percent and 6.5 percent in 2016, below its potential due to a stagnant mining sector and higher fiscal and monetary policies.
Mozambique's Gross Domestic Product expanded by an annual 5.9 percent in the third quarter of last year, up from 5.7 percent in the second quarter.
In the medium term, the IMF expects Mozambique's growth to recover to 7.5-8 percent helped by investments in natural gas projects and higher coal output if agreements can be reached.

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Mozambique holds rate, targets 7.0% growth for 2016

Food Prices Soar as the Canadian Dollar Collapses (Justin Spittler)

Originally Published by Casey Research
The Canadian dollar is collapsing…

Today, the price of oil dropped to $29 in the U.S. Oil hasn’t been this cheap since 2003. It’s even cheaper in other parts of the world, as The Wall Street Journal reported yesterday (emphasis added):

A basket of crude oils sold by the 13 members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries fell Wednesday to $25.69 a barrel. Oman crude-oil futures on the Dubai Mercantile Exchange, a benchmark for crude exports from the Middle East to Asia, fell to $25.88 a barrel Wednesday. And some of the cheapest crude oil in the world, in Canada, costs less than $15.

At less than $15 per barrel, cheap oil is destroying Canada’s economy…

Canada is the world’s sixth-largest oil producer. Oil makes up 25% of its exports.

Last year, revenues for Canada’s energy sector plunged an estimated 22%.

Over the past 18 months, the stock price of Suncor Energy (SU), Canada’s largest oil company, has plunged 48%. Enbridge (ENB), Canada’s second-biggest oil company, has plunged 37%.

Canadian stocks are in a bear market…

Canada’s Toronto Stock Exchange Index is down 21% since hitting a record high in September 2014. A bear market “officially” begins when a price falls 20% from a previous high.

The oil crisis is also hitting Canadian real estate. Vacancy rates in Calgary, Canada’s third-largest city, hit a five-year high last fall. And rental rates are at their lowest level in a decade.

Low oil prices are crushing the Canadian dollar…

Less than five years ago, one Canadian dollar was worth more than one U.S. dollar. Today, the Canadian dollar is worth only US$0.69.

The Canadian dollar has lost an incredible 25% of its value since the price of oil peaked in June 2014.

When a currency collapses, everyday things get more expensive. Bloomberg Business reports that food prices in Canada are soaring. One Canadian grocery is selling cucumbers for C$3 each. Another is charging C$8 for a dozen eggs, C$15 for a box of Frosted Flakes, and C$18 for a gallon of chocolate milk.

According to Bloomberg Business, Canada imports about 80% of its fruits and vegetables. However, prices for other basic goods have also skyrocketed. At least one Canadian store is charging C$32 for a bottle of Tide laundry detergent, according to Zero Hedge.

E.B. Tucker, Editor of The Casey Report, predicted big problems for Canada…

E.B. and Casey Research founder Doug Casey visited Canada’s oil country in September, when oil was $45. In The Casey Report, E.B. explained that Canadians were in denial about low oil prices:

All over Calgary, people told us the price of oil was “coming right back.” They said they’d “been through this before.” It was almost as if they’d all read the same propaganda.

But E.B. knew the crisis was far from over. He wrote that Canada’s economy was in for a “major wake-up call”:

While energy only makes up 25% of the province’s GDP, Albertans will be shocked when they see what happens to other sectors now that the oil business has been cut in half. Construction, finance, real estate, and services all benefited from a 15-year oil boom. These other sectors will start shrinking soon. And it’s not going to be pretty.

Other major world currencies are crashing…

Since 2014, the Japanese yen has lost 12% against the U.S. dollar, the euro has lost 20%, the Australian dollar has lost 17%, and the Mexican peso has lost 24%. The peso is at an all-time low against the U.S. dollar.

These are huge moves for major currencies. After all, we’re not talking about small, volatile stocks. We’re talking about the value of money in people’s bank accounts.

Doug Casey thinks we’re headed for a global currency crisis that could erase trillions of dollars in wealth…

Here’s Doug:

It’s going to be much more severe, different, and longer-lasting than what we saw in 2008 and 2009…The U.S. created trillions of dollars to fight the financial crisis of 2008 and 2009. Most of those dollars are still sitting in the banking system and aren’t in the economy. Some have found their way into the stock markets and the bond markets, creating a stock bubble and a bond super-bubble. The higher stocks and bonds go, the harder they’re going to fall.

Doug has lived through a currency crisis. He was in Argentina in 2001, when the country had the largest sovereign debt default in history. By making smart investments before the collapse, Doug made big gains, including a 700% return in the aftermath.

We recently put together a video with Doug Casey’s best advice on how to protect and grow your money during a currency collapse. Click here to watch this free video.

Chart of the Day

Gold is soaring in Canada…

Today’s chart shows the price of gold in Canadian dollars. It’s up 23% over the past two years.

Dispatch readers know gold is a safe haven asset. Investors buy it when they’re nervous.

With the Canadian dollar collapsing and Canadian stocks plunging, we expect gold in Canadian dollar terms to continue higher.


The article Food Prices Soar as the Canadian Dollar Collapses was originally published at caseyresearch.com.
View the Casey Research Guide to Crisis Investing on InformedTrades


Food Prices Soar as the Canadian Dollar Collapses (Justin Spittler)

Larry Connors’ Top 20 Series: S&P 500 Trading Strategies(share)

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Larry Connors’ Top 20 Series: S&P 500 Trading Strategies(share)

Larry Connors’ Top 20 Series: S&P 500 Trading Strategies(share)

Hi evryone=)
This is a new course that I get from a friend, I wanna share with everyone to work together to discuss it,
Information
Beginning in 2015, Larry Connors will be managing money on a full-time basis. Therefore, this summer will be thefinal time that he will be teaching his strategies and research to the public.

Over the past 20 years, Larry has developed an enormous library of trading and investing research and indicators.

Now, he has chosen the very best of these strategies and will teach you to how to apply them in your own trading and investing for the rest of your life.

Beginning in July and until mid-September, he will be teaching his “Top 20 Strategies”.

The Top 20 Strategies represent the best of Larry Connors’ research. The strategies and research are not only what he believes to be the best; they are also the ones that the most number of customers have the highest level of success with.

Larry is hopeful that in teaching these strategies for the final time, you will have the same success.

The Top 20 Strategies will be taught for the final time as follows.

SOLD OUT! July 7 and 8 – S&P 500 Trading Strategies
SOLD OUT! July 19 – Swing Trading and Momentum Trading Strategies
SOLD OUT! August 15 – Trend Following Strategies
SOLD OUT! – Volatility Spikes Trading Strategies
SOLD OUT! – Short Selling and Put Buying
SOLD OUT! – Profit Target Trading Strategies

Related Products
More info:
Code:

http://ift.tt/1STC3GB
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Larry Connors’ Top 20 Series: S&P 500 Trading Strategies(share)

vendredi 15 janvier 2016

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The decline of the dollar

The decline of the dollar
It will end one way or another.
The reason? Fiscal and monetary policies of the Federal Reserve wrong and the US Treasury. UU. arrogant corrupt politicians and central bankers.

"Planning is the pitiful vanity of central bankers because, for them, the markets are a probe to test its interventionist theories."

In practice, this means deficit spending and printing money in the hope of provoking inflation in order to stimulate nominal growth, reducing the debt to GDP ratios and create a self-sustaining recovery.

But this recovery will not happen because the problems are structural, not cyclical. The US economy. UU. suffers a recession too bad debt balance, which has not been recorded but hidden. Real incomes have not increased and consumers and businesses do not want to spend or invest the political uncertainty in the system.

The financial sector has its own life and extract wealth from the economy rather than facilitate the creation of wealth.


The decline of the dollar

L'USD/CAD teste un plus haut de 12 ans, l'EUR/CHF franchit les 1.09






Une fois de plus maître du jeu, le brut a poussé à la baisse les indices boursiers et les devises matières premières. Il a connu une semaine en dents de scie avec des mouvements d'au moins 2% chaque jour et ce vendredi n'a pas fait exception. Pendant la séance asiatique, le WTI a chuté de plus de 3% pour tomber à $30.25 le baril, après s'être envolé de 3.05% à Londres hier. Son homologue de la...

























JPY
0,28


EUR
0,19


CHF
0,08




GBP
-0,12



plus...




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L'USD/CAD teste un plus haut de 12 ans, l'EUR/CHF franchit les 1.09

jeudi 14 janvier 2016

Peru raises rate 25 bps and will consider further hikes

Peru's central bank raised its benchmark monetary policy rate by a further 25 basis points to 4.0 percent and said it would consider further rate hikes to ensure that inflation moves towards its target range.
The Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP), which raised its rate by 50 basis points last year, most recently in December, said its rate hike took into account that inflation expectations are above its target range, that economic activity is recovering along with the mixed international indicators.
Peru's consumer price inflation rate rose to a 2015-high of 4.4 percent in December from 4.17 percent in November, with inflation excluding food and energy up to 3.49 percent from 3.46 percent.
The BCRP targets inflation of 2.0 percent, plus/minus 1 percentage point.
Inflation has been fueled by the depreciation of the sol. Since mid-2014 the sol has been falling and last year it depreciated by 12.2 percent against the U.S. dollar.
So far this year, the sol's decline has tempered and it was trading at 3.43 to the dollar today, only slightly below 3.40 at the start of the year.
Peru's Gross Domestic Product expanded by an annual 2.9 percent in the third quarter, marginally below the 3.0 percent seen in the second quarter, and the central bank said recent data show higher growth in the fourth quarter of 2015, although it remains below the country's potential.
For 2016, the BCRP estimates that the economy will be growing around its potential rate.
In addition to the monetary policy rate, the central bank said it was raising the overnight deposit rate to 2.75 percent along with the rates for temporary purchases of securities and credit regulation.

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Peru raises rate 25 bps and will consider further hikes

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Chile maintains rate as closely monitors inflation

Chile's central bank left its monetary policy interest rate unchanged at 3.50 percent, saying headline inflation in December was somewhat lower than expected even though it was above the bank's target and core inflation is still close to 5.0 percent.
"The evolution of these variables will continue to be monitored with special attention," said the Central Bank of Chile, which raised its rate by 50 basis points in 2015, most recently in December.
The central bank added that the future path of the policy rate considers "measured adjustments" to ensure that inflation converges to the bank's target, a phrase it also used last month.
Commenting on the recent volatility in financial markets, the central bank said this was due to events in China while the rate hike by the U.S. Federal Reserve "caused no significant changes in global financial markets."
Chile's headline inflation rate jumped to 4.4 percent in December from 3.9 percent in November while core inflation eased to 4.9 percent from 5.1 percent.
The central bank targets inflation at a midpoint of 3.0 percent, plus/minus 1 percentage point.
Data for the fourth quarter continue to show limited growth in domestic output and demand, the bank said, adding that confidence remains pessimistic and annual wage growth was slightly less than in previous months.
Chile's inflation rate has been fueled by the fall in the exchange rate of the peso.
The peso has been falling since April 2013 and depreciated by 14.4 percent against the U.S. dollar last year. The decline has continued this year and today the peso was trading at 724 to the dollar, down 2.2 percent since the beginning of the year.


The Central Bank of Chile issued the following statement:

"In its monthly monetary policy meeting, the Board of the Central Bank of Chile decided to keep the monetary policy interest rate at 3.5%.

Abroad, the policy rate hike by the Federal Reserve Board has caused no significant changes in global financial markets. The main development has been the volatility of financial markets deriving from events in China. In this context, emerging markets’ currencies have depreciated— the Chilean peso included—and their sovereign premiums have risen. Stock prices have fallen, as have commodity prices, especially copper and oil. World activity indicators show no significant changes compared to last month’s scenario.

On the domestic front, December’s monthly CPI inflation was somewhat lower than expected, and in annual terms was above 4% again. Core inflation—the CPIEFE—is still close to 5% y-o-y. Inflation expectations two years out remain at 3%. The evolution of these variables will continue to be monitored with special attention. Available fourth-quarter data continue to show limited growth in domestic output and demand. Confidence indicators are still in pessimistic territory. The unemployment rate remained low and annual wage growth was slightly less than in previous months.

The future path of the monetary policy rate considers measured adjustments aimed to ensure the convergence of inflation to the target, at a pace that will depend on incoming information and its implications on inflation.

The Board reiterates its commitment to conduct monetary policy with flexibility, so that projected inflation stands at 3% over the policy horizon."

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Chile maintains rate as closely monitors inflation