samedi 31 octobre 2015

Colombia raises rate 50 bps, seeks to curb peso rise

Colombia's central bank raised its benchmark intervention rate by a further 50 basis points to 5.25 percent due to rising inflationary expectations amid a lower risk of economic slowdown as the bank raised its growth forecast.
The Central Bank of Colombia has now raised its rate by a total of 75 basis points this year following a hike in September when it said the risk of an "unanchoring of inflation expectations has risen" along with the risk of a lasting increase in inflation.
In a statement from Oct. 30, the board of the central bank "reiterated its commitment to the inflation target."
The central bank targets inflation of 3.0 percent, plus/minus 1 percentage point, and inflation in September accelerated to a six-year high of 5.35 percent from 4.74 percent in August as the depreciation of the peso was passed through to consumer prices along with the impact of lower food supply from dry weather.
As a result, inflationary expectations for one to two years ahead rose to 4.1 and 3.5 percent while the yields of public bonds from two to five years topped 4.0 percent, the bank said.
In addition to the rate hike, the central bank also launched a call options mechanism to help ease what it described a "unjustified increases in the exchange rate, which may contribute to unanchored inflation expectations, as well as providing liquidity to the exchange rate market whenever a significant lack of it takes place."
An auction with one-month options worth US$500 million will be opened in the event that the exchange rate of the peso rises 7 percentage points above its 20-day moving average, the bank said.
The peso started depreciating in July 2014 in response to declining crude oil prices but it has been appreciating since late August when it reached almost 3,239 to the U.S. dollar. Today the peso was trading just under 2,899, still down 18 percent this year.
Meanwhile, Colombia's economy is improving, with the bank's staff revising upward their 2015 growth forecast to 3.0 percent from 2.8 percent, within a range of 2.4-3.4 percent.
The country's Gross Domestic Product expanded 0.6 percent in the second quarter from the first for annual growth of 3.0 percent, up from 2.8 percent in the first quarter, and the central bank said data for the third quarter "suggest a greater-than-expected dynamism.





The Central Bank of Colombia issued the following statement:


"The Board of Directors of Banco de la República at today’s meeting decided to increase the benchmark interest rate by 50 bp to 5.25%. For this decision, the Board mainly took into consideration the following aspects:

  • Annual consumer inflation in September stood at 5.35%, and the average of the four measures of core inflation registered 4.89%. Analysts’ inflation expectations to one and two years increased, registering 4.1% and 3.5%, respectively, while those embedded in public debt bonds to 2, 3, and 5 years are above 4.0%.

  • Acceleration of inflation so far this year is mainly explained by the pass-through of nominal depreciation to consumer prices and the increase in the cost of imported raw materials, as well as by the lower dynamics in food supply.

  • Pass-through of part of the devaluation of the peso to consumer prices and a strong presence of El Niño have slowed down convergence of inflation to the target, due to its direct impact on prices and inflation expectations, as well as to the probable triggering of indexation mechanisms.

  • The technical staff revised upwards its forecast of the most likely figure of growth for the economy in 2015 from 2.8% to 3.0%, within a range between 2.4% and 3.4%. New records of economic activity for the third quarter suggest a greater-than-expected dynamism. On the side of demand, retail sales show that household spending would have been more dynamic, in spite of the decline in the confidence index. Investment expectations show that construction and civil works would continue with good dynamics. On the supply side, the indicators for industry, retail trade and construction have performed better than expected.

  • The increase in inflation expectations has considerably reduced the measures of the real policy interest rate and of the financial system. At the same time, domestic credit growth remains above the expansion of output.

  • Figures for global economic activity continue to reflect a weak dynamics of external demand, below that recorded for 2014. The economy of the United States exhibited moderation in its growth rate, while the euro zone is recovering slowly. China continues slowing down, and the major Latin American economies exhibit low growth rates or output contractions.

  • In the United States, the FED decided to maintain its benchmark interest rate unaltered. As for Latin America, the risk premia of the major economies remain at levels higher than those of 2014.

  • The international prices of oil and other commodities exported by Colombia continue at low levels. The fall in the terms of trade recorded throughout the year has deteriorated national income, largely explaining the higher level of the exchange rate vis-à-vis the US dollar.

In short, inflation expectations have increased and the risk of a slowdown in domestic demand, beyond that which is consistent with the decline registered in national income, has moderated. In order to ensure convergence of inflation to the target range, the Board of Directors decided to increase the benchmark interest rate by 50 bp.
The Board reiterates its commitment to the inflation target and continues to carefully monitor the behavior and projections of economic activity and inflation, as well as that of asset markets and the international situation.
Finally, the Board announced a call options auction mechanism with the purpose of moderating unjustified increases in the exchange rate, which may contribute to unanchor inflation expectations, as well as providing liquidity to the exchange rate market whenever a significant lack of it takes place. The auction will be summoned for USD 500 million once the exchange rate reaches 7 percentage points above its 20 period moving average. Options will be valid for one month from the day of the auction and its exercise is subject to compliance of the aforesaid condition. "



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Colombia raises rate 50 bps, seeks to curb peso rise

Video: Top Trading Themes for the FX and Equities Through Year End




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One of America’s Largest Companies is Stockpiling Food and Gold for the Next Financial Crisis (Justin Spittler)

Originally Published by Casey Research
One of America’s largest companies is taking a controversial stance on employee benefits.

In a move that is sure to draw criticism from the mainstream press, Jonathan Johnson, chairman of online retail giant Overstock.com (OSTK), publicly stated that the company has stockpiled gold and food in preparation of a U.S. financial crisis.

Johnson recently told an audience at the United Precious Metals Association:

We are not big fans of Wall Street and we don't trust them. We foresaw the financial crisis, we fought against the financial crisis that happened in 2008; we don't trust the banks still and we foresee that with QE3, and QE4 and QE n that at some point there is going to be another significant financial crisis.

Quantitative easing (QE) is when a central bank creates money from nothing and injects it into the financial system. It’s basically another word for money printing.

Johnson went on to explain the company’s preparations.

So what do we do as a business so that we would be prepared when that happens? One thing that we do that is fairly unique: we have about $10 million in gold, mostly the small button-sized coins, that we keep outside of the banking system. We expect that when there is a financial crisis there will be a banking holiday. I don't know if it will be two days, or two weeks, or two months. We have $10 million in gold and silver in denominations small enough that we can use for payroll. We want to be able to keep our employees paid, safe, and our site up and running during a financial crisis.

We also happen to have three months of food supply for every employee that we can live on.

Taking preventive steps to keep family and friends safe in a financial crisis is common sense to many people. But to the limousine liberals in mainstream press who tow the line for big banks and the government, this type of preparation is only for “weirdos” and “conspiracy theorists.”

Longtime Casey Research readers are familiar with our stance on financial crisis preparation.

Just like it makes sense to wear a seatbelt…just like it makes sense to buy home insurance…it makes a lot of sense to stay prepared and own insurance against a major financial catastrophe.

Right now, this kind of preparation has never been more important. In other words, we think Overstock's moves represent sound thinking.

In an unprecedented monetary experiment, global central banks have kept interest rates at near-zero levels and printed trillions of new currency units since the 2008 financial crisis. All this “easy money” has warped the global economy and led to trillions of dollars in malinvestment.

We can’t say when this will end, but we can say with certainty that it will end badly. For the sake of your family and friends, we hope you’re taking some simple steps to prepare.

Owning gold is the single most important step you can take to protect your money from the next financial crisis…

While governments and central bankers can destroy the value of paper currencies, they can’t hurt the value of gold. Gold has held its value through every financial crisis in history. That’s why humans have been using gold as a store of value for thousands of years.

We also recommend keeping plenty of cash on hand. Unlike gold, cash will likely lose at least some value during a crisis. But when a crisis hits, you may need cash to pay for everyday goods and services.

Keep enough cash on hand to last you and your family three to six months. Remember, it can be difficult to get cash during a crisis, as we saw in Greece this summer

During the Greek financial crisis, the Greek government declared a “bank holiday.” The government closed all the banks in the country to prevent everyone from pulling their money out and crashing the banking system.

Even after the banks reopened, the Greek government set strict daily limits on how much money people could withdraw from ATMs. For weeks, Greek people could only withdraw €60 ($67) of their own money per day from ATMs.

We also recommend opening a foreign bank account…

Putting money in a foreign bank account is a smart way to move some of your money outside your home country. If your home country has a bank freeze, you’ll still be able to access your cash that’s held in a foreign bank account.

If you’re not sure how to get started, we recommend reading Going Global 2015. This hardcover book explains in detail everything you need to know in order to open a foreign bank account. It includes details on the one country that has never had a bank failure, where it’s easy for Americans to open a bank account. Going Global 2015 will even tell you about a bank in this country where you can open an account starting with just $400 (on page 120).

And that’s just one chapter. As Casey Research’s “financial survival guide,” Going Global 2015 will walk you through all the best ways to protect your money.

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The article One of America’s Largest Companies is Stockpiling Food and Gold for the Next Financial Crisis was originally published at caseyresearch.com.
View the Casey Research Guide to Crisis Investing on InformedTrades


One of America’s Largest Companies is Stockpiling Food and Gold for the Next Financial Crisis (Justin Spittler)

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Russia holds rate but to cut in a "forthcoming" meeting

Russia's central bank maintained its key policy rate at 11.0 percent due to the "persistent substantial inflation risks," but held out the prospect of further rate cuts "at one of its forthcoming Board of Directors meetings" as inflation decelerates in line with its expectation.
The Bank of Russia, which has cut its rate by 600 basis points this year, most recently in July, expects inflation to drop below 7 percent by October next year and then to its target of 4.0 percent in 2017 as "moderately tight monetary conditions and the weak domestic demand will keep putting downward pressure on inflation."
Russia's inflation rate eased slightly to 15.6 percent as of Oct. 26 from 15.7 percent in September but the central bank said inflation expectations remain elevated despite a decline this month.
Russia's inflation rate started accelerating last year in response to a plunge in the exchange rate of the ruble that was hit by tumbling crude oil prices and Western sanctions over Russia's conflict with Ukraine.
Last year the ruble fell 45 percent against the U.S. dollar but then bounced back in the first few months of this year. But the ruble then started falling from late May and was trading at 64.26 to the dollar today, down just over 6 percent this year.
The combination of low global oil prices and western sanctions hit Russia's economy hard, with Gross Domestic Product shrinking in the last four quarters. In the third quarter of this year, the economy contracted by 2.01 percent from the second quarter for an annual decline of 4.3 percent.
The central bank said the economic downturn in September was "somewhat slower," as the labour market was adjusting to the new conditions through a fall in real wages and wider part-time employment that will further limit consumer spending along with low retail lending.
Investment demand is also being constrained by limited potential substitution of external finance with domestic finance due to high corporate debt and the narrow nature of Russia's financial market.
"Going forward, the economic situation will depend on global energy prices and the pace of the economy's adjustment to external shocks," the central bank said.


The Bank of Russia issued the following statement:

"On 30 October 2015, the Bank of Russia Board of Directors decided to keep the key rate at 11.0 percent per annum, in recognition of persistent substantial inflation risks. The balance between inflation risks and the risks of economy cooling has mainly remained unchanged. Given the decision made, the moderately tight monetary conditions and the weak domestic demand will keep putting downward pressure on inflation. The annual pace of consumer price growth in October 2016 is estimated to be under 7% and expected to total 4% in 2017. As inflation slows down in line with the forecast, the Bank of Russia will continue with a downward revision of its key rate, at one of its forthcoming Board of Directors meetings. In making its rate decisions, the Bank of Russia will be guided by changes in the balance between inflation risks and the risks of economy cooling.
Between September and October, annual inflation was slightly down. According to the Bank of Russia’s estimates, annual consumer prices grew at 15.6% as of 26 October, and at 15.8% in August. Inflation expectations, though having decreased as compared with September, remain elevated. The moderately tight monetary policy and the weak domestic demand driven by the low growth of the nominal income of the population, help constrain the growth of consumer prices.
The moderately tight monetary conditions are also exerting downward pressure on prices. Money supply (M2) growth rates remain low. Influenced by the Bank of Russia’s previous key rate reductions, lending and deposit rates remain on a downward trend. These still remain on the level which, on the one hand, serves to keep ruble savings attractive and, on the other hand, given sustaining high debt burden and tight creditworthiness requirements, is a factor behind low annual lending expansion.
September saw a somewhat slower economic downturn, evidenced by key macroeconomic indicators. While structural factors are still curbing economic growth, the current output contraction is also of a cyclical nature. However, the negative demographic trends keep unemployment low, while the labour market is adjusting to the new conditions, largely through a decline in real wages and wider part-time employment. These factors, along with low retail lending, will further contain consumer spending. Fixed capital investment will continue to be weak amid persistent economic uncertainty and relatively tough lending conditions. Investment demand is expected to be constrained by limited potential substitution of external finance with domestic one, following the narrow nature of the Russian financial market and high corporate debt load. Investment is likely to be supported somewhat by the governmental turnaround programme. Weak investment and consumer activity will cause low demand for imports. As a result, net exports will be a positive contributor to the annual output growth. Going forward, the economic situation will depend on the global energy prices and the pace of economy’s adjustment to external shocks.
The slack domestic demand and the moderately tight monetary conditions will drag down annual inflation in 2016-2017. A slowdown in the annual consumer price growth will create prerequisites for decrease in inflation expectations. In early 2016, annual inflation is expected to decline considerably due to, among other factors, its high value in early 2015. The Bank of Russia forecasts the annual consumer price growth to be under 7% in October 2016, on track to reach the 4% target in 2017, facilitated by the current monetary policy. As inflation slows down in line with the forecast, the Bank of Russia Board of Directors will continue with a downward revision of its key rate, at one of its forthcoming meetings.
Key sources of inflation risks include a further worsening of external climate, persistently high inflation expectations and an upward revision, planned for 2016-2017,of rates and prices in the regulated sector, upward revision of social payments indexation, as well as overall budget policy easing.
In making its subsequent decisions, the Bank of Russia will be guided by changes in the balance between inflation risks and the risks of economy cooling.
The Bank of Russia will hold its next rate review meeting on 11 December 2015. The press release on the Bank of Russia Board of Directors’ decision is to be published at 13:30 Moscow time."
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Russia holds rate but to cut in a "forthcoming" meeting

S&P 500 Re-enters Price Channel -- Is the Bull Market Back On?


Key points in this video:

1. The S&P 500 is back in a price channel that it was in from August 2011 to August 2015. This may signal the bull market is back on, especially if the market can hold a test of the bottom trendline.

2. Related to the S&P 500 seeing strength and surging back into its former price channel is the weakness seeing on the US dollar. Gold/US dollar is at a previously-tested support level that coincides with the 50 SMA, while the US dollar/Chinese yuan exchange rate has bounced off resistance and is also declining. These trends, as well as the strength in the S&P 500, might last at least until the US dollar finds support on the US futures dollar index (DXY) and the FXCM dollar index.


S&P 500 Re-enters Price Channel -- Is the Bull Market Back On?

BOJ maintains QE but lowers growth, CPI forecasts

The Bank of Japan (BOJ) maintained its target for boosting the country's monetary base by an annual 80 trillion but lowered its forecast for economic growth and inflation due to a flattening of exports from slower growth in emerging market economies and sluggish private consumption.
But Japan's central bank, which had been expected by many economists to expand its quantitative easing, maintained a relatively optimistic outlook for domestic demand as the corporate sector is continuing to invest on the back of historically high profits and private consumption remains resilient due to a steady improvement in employment and income.
"Looking ahed, domestic demand is likely to follow an uptrend, with a virtuous cycle from income to spending being maintained in both the household and corporate sectors, and exports are expected to start increasing moderately on the back of emerging economies moving out of their declaration phase," the BOJ said.
In its semi-annual economic outlook, the BOJ cut its forecast for economic growth in the current fiscal 2015 year, which began on April 1, to an average of 1.2 percent from 1.7 percent that was forecast in April.
In fiscal 2016 Japan's economy is expected to continue growing above its potential, expanding by 1.4 percent, slightly down from the previous forecast of 1.5 percent.
But for fiscal 2017, growth is expected to be hit by the impact of a planned hike in sales tax on April 1, 2017 to 10 percent from 8 percent and a cyclical deceleration. The growth forecast for fiscal 2017 was trimmed to 0.3 percent from a previous 0.2 percent.
In April 2014 Japan's government took the first step in raising sales taxes to 8 percent from 5 percent to curb mounting debt, and the economy quickly nosedived, with the economy shrinking for four consecutive quarters on an annual basis. In the second quarter of this year the economy finally started to expand again as Gross Domestic Product rose by an annual 0.8 percent.
Although the BOJ lowered its forecast for inflation, it maintained that the underlying trend in inflation is steadily rising and as the impact of the fall in oil prices dissipates, inflation will accelerate toward its target of 2.0 percent.
But the BOJ once again pushed back its expectation for when inflation will reach 2.0 percent, saying this would be around the second half of fiscal 2016, assuming that crude oil prices rise moderately from the current level.
In its April policy report the BOJ pushed back its estimate for reaching its inflation target to the first half of fiscal 2016 from this year.
The BOJ now forecast inflation of only 0.1 percent this fiscal year, down from its previous forecast of 0.7 percent, and inflation of 1.4 percent for fiscal 2016, down from its April forecast of 1.9 percent.
For fiscal 207 inflation is expected to jump by 1.3 percentage points due to the sales tax hike, with consumer price inflation seen at 3.1 percent, unchanged from April's outlook. Excluding the higher sales tax, inflation was seen at an unchanged 1.8 percent.
Headline inflation in Japan was flat in September, down from 0.2 percent in July and August.
The BOJ launched its massive Quantitative and Qualitative Easing (QQE) campaign in April 2013 in an effort to rid the country of 15 years of deflation. As interest rates were already at zero, the BOJ began purchasing assets, mainly Japanese government bonds but also exchange-traded funds and real statement investment trusts.
While the fall in crude oil prices last year has dealt the BOJ a setback in its attempt to boost inflation, it said medium-to long-term inflation expectations appear to be rising and in response the wage and price-setting stance of firms "has clearly changed," with the increase in wages largely than last year at many firms, indicating a steady increase in inflation accompanied by higher wages.

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BOJ maintains QE but lowers growth, CPI forecasts

[text] World stocks on course for best month in four years | Reuters

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"World shares rose on Friday and were on course for their best month in four years, led by Europe's best month in over six years, as global central banks kept stimulus policies intact and many hinted at further steps to reenergize their economies.That has helped soothe concern over higher borrowing costs in the United States as the Federal Reserve prepares to tighten rates, possibly by the end of the year."


[text] World stocks on course for best month in four years | Reuters

[text] Young couples mostly lukewarm as China ends one-child policy | Reuters

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"China has unwound its one-child policy, for decades a symbol of invasive and coercive government planning, but the shift has been met with a disinterested shrug from many younger couples."People are thinking: Why increase our burden by having another baby?" said Wu Tingting, a young mother pushing her one-year-old daughter in a stroller in the southern city of Zhuhai on Friday.The ruling Communist Party announced on Thursday that all families in China will be eligible to have a second child, its biggest social policy shift in three decades, in a move to ease the burden of a fast-ageing society at a time of slowing economic growth."


[text] Young couples mostly lukewarm as China ends one-child policy | Reuters

[text] Yuan Jumps Most Since 2005 as PBOC Mulls Easing Capital Controls - Bloomberg Business

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"he yuan strengthened the most in a decade as China’s central bank said it’s studying looser capital controls, extending a push by the world’s second-largest economy to win reserve-currency status at the IMF."
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[text] Yuan Jumps Most Since 2005 as PBOC Mulls Easing Capital Controls - Bloomberg Business

[text] The Bank of Japan Owns Over Half of the Japanese ETF Market -- and Might Be Gearing Up to Buy Even More - Bloomberg

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"apan’s central bank already owns more than half of the nation’s market for exchange-traded stock funds, and that might just be the start.The Bank of Japan will boost stimulus on Friday, according to 16 of 36 economists in Bloomberg’s latest*survey, with 12 saying it would do so by increasing*its annual ETF-buying budget. With*3 trillion yen ($25 billion) a year in existing firepower, the BOJ has accumulated an ETF stash that accounted for 52 percent of the entire market at the end of September, figures from Tokyo’s stock exchange show."


[text] The Bank of Japan Owns Over Half of the Japanese ETF Market -- and Might Be Gearing Up to Buy Even More - Bloomberg

Statu quo de la BoJ, USD en repli






La Banque du Japon a pris le marché à contre-pied ce matin en décidant de se donner une marge de manœuvre pour atteindre l'objectif d'inflation de 2%. Le gouverneur Haruhiko Kuroda a confirmé son estimation optimiste de l'économie nipponne, arguant que la reprise de l'inflation était en cours et que l'économie était sur la bonne voie. L'USD/JPY a grimpé à 121.50 dans la foulée de l'annonce, avant...

























JPY
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GBP
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CHF
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EUR
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plus...




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Statu quo de la BoJ, USD en repli

Advice For How To Reduce And Eliminate Skincare Problems

Taking care of your skin is very important to maintain your looks. At some point in time in our lives, everybody has let skin care slack a little. Follow these tips to take great care of your skin and keep it looking wonderful and young.

To avoid getting a rash if you've been exposed to poison oak or ivy, you need to act immediately. It takes ten minutes for the invisible oil to bind to your skin. If you can thoroughly wash the area with lots of running water within that time, you can probably avoid the rash. You can use dishwashing liquid to help break up the oil.

Before going outside during the summer, apply sunscreen on your face with a sponge applicator rather than your fingers. The sponge can help the sunscreen go further into skin, boosting its effectiveness. It also helps prevent the greasy, stickiness that can occur if you apply too much sunscreen to your face.

You should keep your skin care products in a cold environment, especially in the summer time. When you apply warm products on your skin, your face might get flushed, and your warm skin is an ideal environment for the bacterias that were on your fingertips to thrive. With cold products, you reduce the flushing and keep bacterias from spreading.

If you have oily skin, don't use moisturizer. This is the equivalent of using butter and mayonnaise on a sandwich: one is oily enough. On the other hand, you may be oily all over with a few dry areas, generally near the eyes or on the cheeks back near your ears. In that case, apply moisturizer only to the dry areas of your face.

Good skin is the number one ingredient for good looks. It can also be time consuming, but using the tips provided above you will be on your way to having healthy skin once again, within just a few minutes of your time a day.


Advice For How To Reduce And Eliminate Skincare Problems

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jeudi 29 octobre 2015

Advice For How To Reduce And Eliminate Skincare Problems

Taking care of your skin is very important to maintain your looks. At some point in time in our lives, everybody has let skin care slack a little. Follow these tips to take great care of your skin and keep it looking wonderful and young.

To avoid getting a rash if you've been exposed to poison oak or ivy, you need to act immediately. It takes ten minutes for the invisible oil to bind to your skin. If you can thoroughly wash the area with lots of running water within that time, you can probably avoid the rash. You can use dishwashing liquid to help break up the oil.

Before going outside during the summer, apply sunscreen on your face with a sponge applicator rather than your fingers. The sponge can help the sunscreen go further into skin, boosting its effectiveness. It also helps prevent the greasy, stickiness that can occur if you apply too much sunscreen to your face.

You should keep your skin care products in a cold environment, especially in the summer time. When you apply warm products on your skin, your face might get flushed, and your warm skin is an ideal environment for the bacterias that were on your fingertips to thrive. With cold products, you reduce the flushing and keep bacterias from spreading.

If you have oily skin, don't use moisturizer. This is the equivalent of using butter and mayonnaise on a sandwich: one is oily enough. On the other hand, you may be oily all over with a few dry areas, generally near the eyes or on the cheeks back near your ears. In that case, apply moisturizer only to the dry areas of your face.

Good skin is the number one ingredient for good looks. It can also be time consuming, but using the tips provided above you will be on your way to having healthy skin once again, within just a few minutes of your time a day.


Advice For How To Reduce And Eliminate Skincare Problems

Always a Market Crash in the Vicinity

Hi,

This is my first post so please be gentle.

I've just started to read about financial markets. It's been a few weeks of lecture and I've learned a lot. I don't think I'm ready yet to put my money at risk by investing it somewhere (though you could say it's always at risk, but you know what I mean).

Now that that's out of the way, let's talk about Stock Market Crashes. I'm still young (20 years old) and my experience with life is short, but this is what I've learned from reading news: people always talk about a catastrophe getting close. It was 2012 in 2012, it's been World War 3 for a few years now, and it's a Stock Market Crash now. I was reminded of this when I came across a video on Youtube talking about another market crash in 2010. Then, I realized that if I searched for proof that a stock market crash would happen in 2010 I was able to find some. Needless to say, it didn't happen.

Now, I don't want to talk about stock allocation and risk management - A well-diversified portfolio will survive any market crash(unless they all crash at the same time of course, but in that case I should've bought canned food and ammunition to prepare for the apocalypse).

This question is adressed to people of age. Has it always been like this? Have people always been talking about Market Crashes every? Single? Year? Even in the 20th century?


Always a Market Crash in the Vicinity

Forex Range Trader request

Hello everybody
anyone have Forex Range Trader please ......:em0400:


Forex Range Trader request

FIFA should start looking at recreating entire classic teams

In fact, in a bid to draw in more of the 80s man-child generation, fifa 16 coins should start looking at recreating entire classic teams to square off against each other, but for now, the option to snap up the all-time greats on Ultimate Team will suffice.

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FIFA should start looking at recreating entire classic teams

Fiji maintains rate, consumption remains robust

Fiji's central bank held its Overnight Policy Rate steady at 0.50 percent, saying the country's economy remains robust despite the slowdown in China and major trading partners as consumption remains buoyant, investment activity is supported by easy monetary policy, and tourism and remittances remain positive.


The Reserve Bank of Fiji issued the following statement:


"The Reserve Bank of Fiji Board at its monthly meeting on 29 October agreed to maintain the Overnight Policy Rate at 0.5 percent.

In announcing the decision, the Governor and Chairman of the Board, Mr Barry Whiteside stated that “domestic economic conditions remain robust despite the recent downgrade of global growth by the International Monetary Fund and further slowdown in China and major trading partner economies. Aggregate demand continues to be propelled by buoyant consumption and investment activity supported by favourable monetary conditions, and generally positive sectoral performances especially tourism and remittances.”

Governor Whiteside highlighted that potential risks to our growth outlook include the subdued outlook for trading partner economies coupled with our currency appreciation against the Australian and New Zealand dollars and weakening against the United States dollar and a pickup in commodity prices. Domestically, the risks from natural disasters including adverse climatic conditions, such as the prolonged El-Nino which has affected our sugar sector, remain a concern.

Nonetheless, our projections for both inflation and foreign reserves remain within comfortable levels in the near and medium term. Inflation was 1.5 percent in September and is forecast at 2.0 percent by year-end. Foreign reserves are currently (29 October) around $1,989.7 million, sufficient to cover 6.0 months of retained imports of goods and non-factor services, based on recent revisions to our macroeconomic forecasts.

The Governor concluded that any change to monetary policy will be guided in particular by the developments on the outlook for inflation and foreign reserves. "

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Fiji maintains rate, consumption remains robust

Ukraine holds rate but to ease further as inflation falls

Ukraine's central bank left its benchmark discount rate unchanged at 22.0 percent to anchor inflation expectations but said it would continue to ease its monetary policy as disinflation takes hold.
The National Bank of Ukraine (NBU), which has cut its rate by 800 basis points this year after raising it by 2,350 points from April 2014 through March this year, added that it had maintained its inflation forecast of 12 percent by the end of 2016.
"The fundamental factors underpinning the disinflationary trend remain relevant," the central bank said, adding these factors include weak domestic demand, low global commodity prices, a balanced current account and sound fiscal policy.
The NBU added that there had been some recovery in economic activity in September with implementation of the cease fire agreement contributing to faster growth in mining.
The financial system is also continuing to stabilize, with rising domestic currency deposits while foreign currency deposits expanded for the first time in two years in September.
Inflationary expectations have also become more anchored, but the central bank said it had maintained its rate due to continuing inflationary risks due to the lagged effects of the devaluation of the hryvnia on the prices of seasonal goods and further increases in administered prices.
Inflation in October is expected to be relatively high due to lower than expected harvest of crops as well as increases in heating prices, the NBU said.
Ukraine's inflation rate eased to 51.9 percent in September from 52.8 percent in August and a year-high of 60.9 percent in April.
The hryvnia was trading at 23.2 to the U.S. dollar today, down 32 percent this year.

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Ukraine holds rate but to ease further as inflation falls

Forex Trading Contest - FXCM's $10,000 Monthly Challenge

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Moldova holds rate but raises inflation forecast on leu fall

Moldova's central bank left is key policy rates steady at 19.50 percent, along with its other key rates, but raised its forecast for inflation this year to 9.7 percent and to 11.9 percent for 2016 to reflect the impact of the leu's depreciation along with higher food prices due to drought.
The National Bank of Moldoval (NMB), which has raised its rate by 13 percentage points this year, said inflation will exceed the upper limit of its inflation target of 6.5 percent and first return within the range of 6.5 to 3.5 percent by the third quarter of 2017.
The NMB's executive board said it had approved the latest inflation report that will be presented to the public on Nov. 5.
Moldova's inflation rate rose to 12.6 percent in September from 12.2 percent in August, with the depreciation of the leu currency since the beginning of the year raising inflationary pressures on prices of imported goods while tariffs have risen along with higher taxes on some goods.
The leu has been depreciating since mid-2011and has depreciated by 22 percent this year, quoted at 19.95 to the U.S. dollar today.
Moldova is a former Soviet state located between Romania and the Ukraine.

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Moldova holds rate but raises inflation forecast on leu fall

Egypt holds rate on contained risks to higher inflation

Egypt's central bank left its benchmark overnight deposit rate at 8.75 percent, along with its other key rates, as expected, with the bank confirming its view from recent months that "upside risks to the inflation outlook from domestic supply shocks are largely mitigated by contained imported inflation, against the background of broad-based declines in international commodity prices."
The decision by the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) was largely expected and comes a week after the presidency said CBE Governor Hesham Ramez would resign when his term ends on November 26 to be replaced by Tarek Amer, former chief executive of the National Bank of Egypt, the oldest and largest bank in the country.
Under Ramez, who took over the CBE in February 2013, the Egyptian pound has been devalued several times, but critics have said the pound has still been kept at too high a level and the central bank has had to use foreign reserves to maintain its rate.
This year the pound was devalued in January, February, July and earlier this month. Today it was quoted at 8.0 to the U.S. dollar, down 21 percent since the beginning of 2013 and 11 percent this year.
Egypt's inflation rate rose to 9.21 percent in September from 7.88 percent in August.
The country's Gross Domestic Product grew by by an annual 3.0 percent in the third quarter of the 2014/15 fiscal year, which ends on June 30, compared with 2.2. percent expansion in the 2013/14 fiscal year.
The CBE repeated that uncertainty surrounding the global economy on the back of softer growth in emerging markets and challenges in the euro area could pose downside risks to growth despite the contribution of domestic mega projects.


The Central Bank of Egypt issued the following statement:


"In its meeting held on October 29, 2015, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) decided to keep the overnight deposit rate, overnight lending rate, and the rate of the CBE's main operation unchanged at 8.75 percent, 9.75 percent, and 9.25 percent, respectively. The discount rate was also kept unchanged at 9.25 percent.

Headline CPI increased by 2.47 percent (m/m) in September following 0.63 percent in August, leading the annual rate to jump to 9.21 percent from 7.88 percent. On the other hand, core CPI increased by 0.79 percent in September compared to a decline of 0.23 percent in August, while the annual rate remained largely unchanged at 5.55 percent, on the back of a favorable base effect from the previous year. The continued acceleration in the prices of volatile food items explain the bulk of monthly headline CPI developments and has widened the divergence between the headline and core inflation rates. Upside risks to the inflation outlook from domestic supply shocks are largely mitigated by contained imported inflation, against the background of broad-based declines in international commodity prices.

Meanwhile, real GDP grew by 3.0 percent (y/y) in 2014/15 Q3 to record 4.6 percent (y/y) in the first nine months of the fiscal year. This comes after real GDP growth recorded 2.2 percent (y/y) during 2013/14. The main contributors to growth during 2014/15 Q3 were the internal trade, construction, building and the real estate sectors, while the extractions sector remained weak. In the meantime, investment growth more than compensated for the negative contribution of the widening trade deficit. Looking ahead, while investments in domestic mega projects are expected to contribute to economic growth, the downside risks and uncertainty that surround the global economy on the back of softening growth in emerging markets and challenges facing the Euro Area could pose downside risks to domestic GDP.

At this juncture, the MPC judges that the key CBE rates are currently appropriate given the balance of risks surrounding the inflation and GDP outlooks.

The MPC will continue to closely monitor all economic developments and will not hesitate to adjust the key CBE rates to ensure price stability over the medium-term."

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Egypt holds rate on contained risks to higher inflation

[text] Venezuela Sold Nearly 19 Percent Of its Gold This Year to Pay Its Debts | Reuters

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"Venezuelan central bank gold holdings declined in value by 19 percent between January and May, according to its financial statements, likely reflecting gold swap operations and lower bullion prices.The OPEC nation, struggling with stagflation due to low oil prices and a collapsing state-led economic model, holds a considerable portion of its monetary reserves in gold.Reuters in March reported that the central bank was in talks with Wall Street to monetize about $1.5 billion of gold in reserves, an operation the bank did not confirm at the time."


[text] Venezuela Sold Nearly 19 Percent Of its Gold This Year to Pay Its Debts | Reuters

[text] Fed puts December rate hike firmly on the agenda | Reuters

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""In determining whether it will be appropriate to raise the target range at its next meeting, the committee will assess progress - both realized and expected - toward its objectives of maximum employment and 2 percent inflation," the Fed said in a statement after its latest two-day policy meeting.Investors quickly placed bets reflecting a higher chance the U.S. central bank will raise rates in December, with futures contracts implying a 43 percent possibility compared to 34 percent prior to the statement."The Fed is seriously considering a December rate hike," said Harm Bandholz, an economist at UniCredit in New York."


[text] Fed puts December rate hike firmly on the agenda | Reuters

New Zealand maintains rate at it watches and waits

New Zealand's central bank left its Official Cash Rate (OCR) steady at 2.75 percent, as expected by most economists, and confirmed that "some further reduction in the OCR seems likely" to ensure that inflation rises to the middle of the target range, with the timing of any move dependent on economic data.
"It is appropriate at present to watch and wait," Graeme Wheeler, governor of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) said.
The RBNZ has cut its rate by 75 basis points this year, most recently by 25 points in September when it also said that further easing of the key rate was likely, depending on economic data.
Since the September policy decision, the New Zealand dollar has firmed, global dairy prices have risen and home prices in Auckland have continued to rise.
Earlier this month Wheeler reiterated that the RBNZ was likely to cut rates again but underscored that he was wary of inflaming the housing market and wants to retain some room to ease policy further in the event of a global economic downturn.
Economists viewed Wheeler's speech on Oct. 14 as signaling that the central bank would wait until its monetary policy review in December to cut rates again.
"House price inflation in Auckland remains strong, posing a financial stability risk," Wheeler said today, adding that residential building is accelerating but it will take time to meet the supply shortfall.
New Zealand's inflation rate was unchanged at 0.4 percent in the third quarter of the year, with the RBNZ expecting it to return to the 1-3 percent target range by early 2016 as the impact of the fall in oil prices drops out of the comparison and consumer prices adjust to the fall in the exchange rate from April to September.
But since September, the exchange rate of the New Zealand dollar - known as the kiwi - has risen, which Wheeler said could dampen inflation and exports, leading to "a lower interest rate path than otherwise would be the case."
After dropping from 1.30 to the U.S. dollar in April to almost 1.60 in September, the kiwi has firmed since late September to trade around 1.50 to the dollar today, down 14.7 percent this year.


.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand issued the following statement by its governor, Graeme Wheeler:

"The Reserve Bank today left the Official Cash Rate (OCR) unchanged at 2.75 percent.

Global economic growth is below average and global inflation is low despite highly stimulatory monetary policy. Financial market volatility has eased in recent weeks, but concerns remain about the prospects for slower growth in China and East Asia especially. Financial markets are also uncertain about the timing and effects of monetary policy tightening in the United States and possible easings elsewhere.
The sharp fall in dairy prices since early 2014 continues to weigh on domestic farm incomes. However, growth in the services sector and construction remains robust, driven by net immigration, tourism, and low interest rates. Global dairy prices have risen in recent weeks, contributing to improved household and business sentiment. However, it is too early to say whether these recent improvements will be sustained.
House price inflation in Auckland remains strong, posing a financial stability risk. While residential building is accelerating, it will take some time to correct the supply shortfall. The Government has introduced new tax requirements and the Reserve Bank’s new LVR restrictions on investor lending come into effect on 1 November.
CPI inflation remains below the 1 to 3 percent target range, largely reflecting a combination of earlier strength in the New Zealand dollar and the 60 percent fall in world oil prices since mid-2014.
Annual CPI inflation is expected to return well within the target range by early 2016, as the effects of earlier petrol price falls drop out of the CPI calculation and in response to the fall in the exchange rate since April. However, the exchange rate has been moving higher since September, which could, if sustained, dampen tradables sector activity and medium-term inflation. This would require a lower interest rate path than would otherwise be the case.
Continued economic expansion is expected to result in some pick-up in non-tradables inflation, despite the moderating effects of strong labour supply growth.
To ensure that future average CPI inflation settles near the middle of the target range, some further reduction in the OCR seems likely. This will continue to depend on the emerging flow of economic data. It is appropriate at present to watch and wait."
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New Zealand maintains rate at it watches and waits

(On going Group-Buy) Million Dollar Traders Course – Lex Van Dam

May i post this notice here? I am very love to get this courses with the others, who like to learn this courses,too.

Course Name: Million Dollar Traders Course – Lex Van Dam

OnGoing GroupBuy [OGB]

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Quote:

Thread starter has contacted me earlier about his intention to organize this group buy.
As a moderator I have give permission, but would like to advise anybody who are interested in joining him to do your own due diligence.

Thanks
Popisdead



(On going Group-Buy) Million Dollar Traders Course – Lex Van Dam